Match Info

USL League One

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	One Knoxville		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.30	2.75
	2.23	3.25	2.75
	2.21	3.51	2.93
	2.23	3.57	2.93	Watch
	2.18	3.45	2.90
	2.16	3.45	2.87
	2.14	3.30	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
41.5%

Draw
26.7%

Boise
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Boise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

One Knoxville - Boise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 21. Zarokostas S. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 13. Bull 6. Caputo A. 89. Baker T. 11. Linhares K. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 10. Gill R.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. 2. Ricketts J. 66. Mayaka P. 14. Moon N. 10. Kostyshyn D. 6. Adams C. (C) 11. Moshobane T. 36. Barea J. 7. Bodily B.
Substitutes
32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 27. Cook E. 7. Diene B. 17. Goling M. 22. Perkins W. 77. Rosamilia N. 99. Uderitz B.	22. Amang T. 1. Andema J. (G) 8. Gasso D. 17. Hanson J. 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 23. Yehya O.
Coaches
Fuller I.	MIller N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Gill R. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 2 - 0, Dengler J. (Own goal),
31', 2 - 1, Moshobane T. ⚽, Ricketts J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Skelton J. ↓, Uderitz B. ↑,
56', Uderitz B. 🟨,
59', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
59', Linhares K. ↓, Perkins W. ↑,
61', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
71', Ricketts J. 🟨,
71', Adams C. ↓, Gasso D. ↑,
71', Zarokostas S. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
78', Barea J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
78', Gill R. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Ricketts J. ⚽, Gasso D. (A),
90', Bull 🟨,
90+3', Murphy Jr. J. 🟨,
90+3', Mayaka P. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by One Knoxville have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boise is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49

Last Results with these Odds

One Knoxville - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
19.08.26	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTWLL
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Boise - Corpus Christi	0:0 ✺
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	New York Cosmos - Boise	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Boise - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.07.26	Boise - One Knoxville	1:2

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