Match Info

MLS

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	New York City		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.75
	1.65	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.63	4.36	5.12
	1.6	4.42	4.95	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.63	4.4	5.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)	4.22 ↑ (3.92)	4.88 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
57.9%

Draw
22.6%

Orlando City
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

New York City - Orlando City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - NY City (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: New York City will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 5. Trewin K. 22. O'Toole K. 21. O'Neill A. 10. Moralez M. 55. Parks K. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 17. Wolf H.	71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 4. Brekalo D. 21. Miller N. 29. Reid-Brown T. 87. Pasalic M. 8. Ojeda B. 5. Luis Otavio 77. Angulo I. 10. Ojeda M. 14. Spicer T.
Substitutes
38. Baiera D. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 34. Raul Gustavo 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 19. Tanasijevic S.	20. Atuesta E. 57. Iago Teodoro 41. Judelson D. 3. Marin A. 13. McGuire D. 12. Otero J. (G) 23. Sarajian H. 19. Taifi Z. 11. Tiago
Coaches
Jansen P.	Pareja O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', Reid-Brown T. 🟨,
16', Crepeau M. 🟥,
19', Spicer T. ↓, Otero J. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Ojeda A. ⚽, Moralez M. (A), Trewin K. (A2)
42', 2 - 0, Mercau N. ⚽, Moralez M. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
45+7', 3 - 0, Moralez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Luis Otavio ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
46', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
49', 4 - 0, Parks K. ⚽, Gray T. (A),
54', 5 - 0, Parks K. ⚽,
62', Moralez M. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
62', Ojeda M. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
71', Ojeda A. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
71', Thiago Martins ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
71', Parks K. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
78', Pasalic M. ↓, Tiago ↑,
87', Mercau N. ↓, Reid S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 4.

In this match, NY City is a strong favorite.

There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (Knee Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Thigh Injury) Gerbet J. (Knee Injury) Guske C. (Red Card) Jansson R. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Marin A. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2.4:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Orlando City - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
01.03.26	Philadelphia Union - New York City	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	San Jose Earthquakes - New York City	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Los Angeles - New York City	1:1 ✺
MLS
29.11.25	Inter Miami - New York City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLTL
- Orlando City
MLS
01.03.26	Orlando City - Inter Miami	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Orlando City - New York Red Bulls	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Toronto FC - Orlando City	4:2 ✺
11.10.25	Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
16.07.25	Orlando City - New York City	1:2
08.03.25	New York City - Orlando City	2:1
20.07.24	Orlando City - New York City	1:1
28.06.24	New York City - Orlando City	4:2
20.09.23	New York City - Orlando City	2:0
17.05.23	Orlando City - New York City	1:1
02.10.22	New York City - Orlando City	2:1

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