Match Info

MLS

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Geodis Park (Nashville, TN)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Nashville SC		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.6	5.5
	1.49	4.45	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4.67	6.54
	1.47	4.66	6.31	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.75
	1.5	4.82	6.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.63)	4.61 ↑ (4.27)	6.16 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nashville SC
64.2%

Draw
20.5%

Orlando City
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Nashville SC - Orlando City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Schwake B. (G) 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 3. Woledzi M. 27. Baker-Whiting R. 8. Yazbek P. 20. Tagseth E. 7. Espinoza C. 10. Mukhtar H. (C) 19. Muyl A. 9. Surridge S.	71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 21. Miller N. 57. Iago Teodoro 3. Gomez A. 5. Luis Otavio 8. Ojeda B. 87. Pasalic M. 10. Ojeda M. (C) 77. Angulo I. 13. McGuire D.
Substitutes
6. Acosta B. 22. Bauer J. 16. Corcoran M. 2. Lovitz D. 41. Madrigal W. 5. Maher J. 17. Pacius W. 37. Qasem A. 1. Willis J. (G)	22. Ellis J. 25. Guske C. 41. Judelson D. 12. Otero J. (G) 29. Reid-Brown T. 23. Sarajian H. 19. Taifi Z. 11. Tiago 34. Tsukada Y.
Coaches
Callaghan B.	Perelman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Espinoza C. ⚽, Najar A. (A), Tagseth E. (A2)
26', Miller N. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Surridge S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Luis Otavio ↓, Guske C. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽,
59', Gomez A. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
59', McGuire D. ↓, Tiago ↑,
61', Muyl A. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Surridge S. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),
68', Yazbek P. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
68', Espinoza C. ↓, Madrigal W. ↑,
72', Dorsey G. ↓, Tsukada Y. ↑,
73', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
78', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Lovitz D. ↑,
78', Surridge S. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, Madrigal W. ⚽,
83', Najar A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.

Nashville is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nashville is the team to beat.

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Thigh Injury) Gerbet J. (Knee Injury) Jansson R. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Tiago (Leg Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Outrights of MLS for now

Nashville SC: 11.36% Orlando City: 1.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	1:1 ✺
MLS
14.03.26	Columbus Crew - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.26	Nashville SC - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
MLS
07.03.26	Nashville SC - Minnesota United	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	FC Dallas - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWTWT
- Orlando City
MLS
14.03.26	Orlando City - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	New York City - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Orlando City - Inter Miami	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Orlando City - New York Red Bulls	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
20.09.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	3:2
23.08.25	Nashville SC - Orlando City	5:1
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	2:3
MLS
31.08.24	Orlando City - Nashville SC	3:0
17.07.24	Nashville SC - Orlando City	0:3
07.11.23	Nashville SC - Orlando City	0:1
30.10.23	Orlando City - Nashville SC	1:0

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