Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 15

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Mirko Fersini (Rome)

Referee: Madonia D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	DAZN Canada
Italy	DAZN Italia, RaiPlay, RAI Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Lazio		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.15	3
	2.45	3.17	2.77
	2.46	3.33	2.75	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.07	3.42	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.45)	3.23 ↓ (3.42)	3.04 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
41.3%

Draw
28.4%

Milan
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Lazio - Milan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Durante F. (G) 2. Baltrip-Reyes C. 7. Connolly M. 27. D'Auria F. 10. Benoit A. 17. Monnecchi M. 8. Martin E. 11. Le Bihan C. 13. Oliviero E. 99. Visentin N. (C) 18. Piemonte M.	1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 20. Soffia A. 21. Keijzer M. 8. Arrigoni G. 12. Mascarello M. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 14. Park Soo-Jeong 80. Kamczyk E. 18. Renzotti M.
Substitutes
42. Bacic D. (G) 77. Cafferata F. 5. Cesarini E. 9. Karczewska N. 1. Karresmaa K. (G) 4. Mancuso G. 6. Mesjasz M. 20. Simonetti F.	29. Appiah K. 5. Cernoia V. 99. Dompig C. 13. Estevez S. (G) 7. Kyvag T. 17. Sesay M. 15. Stokic S. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)
Coaches
Grassadonia G.	Bakker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Le Bihan C. ⚽, Visentin N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', D'Auria F. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Kamczyk E. ⚽,
60', Kamczyk E. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
60', Visentin N. ↓, Karczewska N. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Soffia A. ⚽, Mascarello M. (A),
67', Martin E. ↓, Simonetti F. ↑,
67', Monnecchi M. ↓, Cafferata F. ↑,
77', Connolly M. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
78', Simonetti F. 🟨,
81', Mascarello M. ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Karczewska N. ⚽, Oliviero E. (A),
86', Renzotti M. ↓, Kyvag T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1.4:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AC Milan W: 3.4% Lazio W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
10	Lazio W	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lazio Women
Italian Serie A Women
15.02.26	Juventus - Lazio	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Genoa - Lazio	2:5 ✺
01.02.26	Lazio - Como	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
28.01.26	Roma - Lazio	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
24.01.26	Lazio - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTLW
- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
14.02.26	Milan - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Roma - Milan	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Milan - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Milan - Ternana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
01.11.25	Milan - Lazio	4:2
14.12.24	Lazio - Milan	2:0
29.09.24	Milan - Lazio	2:1
05.02.22	Milan - Lazio	3:1
11.09.21	Lazio - Milan	1:8

Lazio - Milan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide