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Napoli - Verona

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 19
  • Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
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    Napoli Verona
    Napoli Verona
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33 ↓
    (1.43)    		 4.86 ↑
    (4.48)    		 10.74 ↑
    (7.62)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Napoli
    71.5%    		Draw
    19.6%    		Verona
    8.9%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    66.4% 21.2% 12.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    68.8% 19.6% 11.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.
  • Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    92.8% 5.8% 1.4%

    Napoli - Verona Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅˆ Silver Tip.
    • AH +1.25 - Verona (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Napoli (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (64 of 69 users predict this - 92.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% โ€“ 98.87%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 28 - 93.3%). Verona (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    32. SerbiaMilinkovic-Savic V. (G)
    22. ItalyDi Lorenzo G. (C)
    13. KosovoRrahmani A.
      4. ItalyBuongiorno A.
    21. ItalyPolitano M.
    68. SlovakiaLobotka S.
      8. ScotlandMcTominay S.
      3. SpainGutierrez M.
    20. NorthElmas E.
    70. NetherlandsLang N.
    19. DenmarkHojlund R.
    		  1. ItalyMontipo L. (C)
      5. SpainNunez U.
    37. GermanyBella-Kotchap A.
      6. ArgentinaValentini N.
    12. CroatiaBradaric D.
    36. SenegalNiasse C.
    63. ItalyGagliardini R.
    24. FranceBernede A.
      3. DenmarkFrese M.
      9. SwedenSarr A.
    16. NigeriaOrban G.
    Substitutes
    14. ItalyContini N. (G)
    98. ItalyDe Chiara E.
      5. BrazilJuan Jesus
    27. ItalyLucca L.
    35. ItalyMarianucci L.
      1. ItalyMeret A. (G)
    17. UruguayOlivera M.
    95. ItalyPrisco V.
    37. ItalySpinazzola L.
    		73. LibyaAl Musrati
    70. GambiaCham F.
    23. CameroonEbosse E.
    17. BrazilGiovane
    21. MoroccoHarroui A.
    20. CyprusKastanos G.
    25. ColombiaMosquera D.
    15. DenmarkNelsson V.
      2. EnglandOyegoke D.
    34. ItalyPerilli S. (G)
      4. SpainSantiago Y.
      8. GermanySerdar S.
    19. DenmarkSlotsager T.
    94. ItalyToniolo G. (G)
    Coaches
         ItalyConte A.
    		     ItalyZanetti P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 2)
    • 16', 0 - 1, Frese M. ⚽, Niasse C. (A),
    • 27', 0 - 2, Orban G. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 28', Orban G. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 52', Bradaric D. 🟨,
    • 54', 1 - 2, McTominay S. ⚽, Lang N. (A),
    • 55', Gutierrez M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
    • 63', Elmas E. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
    • 64', Sarr A. ↓, Giovane ↑,
    • 75', Bella-Kotchap A. 🟨,
    • 76', Lang N. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
    • 78', Bradaric D. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
    • 82', 2 - 2, Di Lorenzo G. ⚽, Marianucci L. (A),
    • 87', Niasse C. ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
    • 87', Orban G. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,

    Preview

  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
  • Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In recent matches, Verona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 2).
  • In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
  • There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) David Neres (Ankle Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Red Card)
  • There will not play in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Ankle Injury) Belghali R. (International duty) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Napoli: Beukema S. (Foot Injury) Lucca L. (Illness)
  • We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:19. (average 2.3:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 2.5:0.5).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Napoli942317:11614

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Napoli: 1.48%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SSC Napoli
    Italian Serie A
    04.01.26 Lazio - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    28.12.25 Cremonese - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    Italian Super Cup
    22.12.25 Napoli - Bologna 2:0 ✺
    18.12.25 Napoli - Milan 2:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A
    14.12.25 Udinese - Napoli 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1
    WWWWL
    - Hellas Verona
    Italian Serie A
    04.01.26 Verona - Torino 0:3 ✺
    28.12.25 Milan - Verona 3:0 ✺
    14.12.25 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2 ✺
    06.12.25 Verona - Atalanta 3:1 ✺
    29.11.25 Genoa - Verona 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1
    LLWWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    12.01.25 Napoli - Verona 2:0
    18.08.24 Verona - Napoli 3:0
    04.02.24 Napoli - Verona 2:1
    21.10.23 Verona - Napoli 1:3
    15.04.23 Napoli - Verona 0:0
    15.08.22 Verona - Napoli 2:5
    13.03.22 Verona - Napoli 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SSC Napoli
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Porto - Napoli ✺
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Juventus - Napoli ✺
    - Hellas Verona
    Italian Serie B
    01.11.26 Verona - Carrarese ✺

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