Match Info

Serie A - Round 19

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab


	Napoli		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	11	Watch
	1.38	4.6	8.75
	1.32	4.95	10.5	Watch
	1.33	4.88	11.22	Watch
	1.33	4.5	10
	1.36	5.06	11.7
	1.3	5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.43)	4.86 ↑ (4.48)	10.74 ↑ (7.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
71.5%

Draw
19.6%

Verona
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20.5%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.8%	5.8%	1.4%

Napoli - Verona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.25 - Verona (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Napoli (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (64 of 69 users predict this - 92.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 98.87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 28 - 93.3%). Verona (votes: 2 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 21. Politano M. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 3. Gutierrez M. 20. Elmas E. 70. Lang N. 19. Hojlund R.	1. Montipo L. (C) 5. Nunez U. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 6. Valentini N. 12. Bradaric D. 36. Niasse C. 63. Gagliardini R. 24. Bernede A. 3. Frese M. 9. Sarr A. 16. Orban G.
Substitutes
14. Contini N. (G) 98. De Chiara E. 5. Juan Jesus 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 1. Meret A. (G) 17. Olivera M. 95. Prisco V. 37. Spinazzola L.	73. Al Musrati 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 17. Giovane 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 25. Mosquera D. 15. Nelsson V. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 8. Serdar S. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)
Coaches
Conte A.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Frese M. ⚽, Niasse C. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Orban G. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Orban G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Bradaric D. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, McTominay S. ⚽, Lang N. (A),
55', Gutierrez M. ↓, Spinazzola L. ↑,
63', Elmas E. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
64', Sarr A. ↓, Giovane ↑,
75', Bella-Kotchap A. 🟨,
76', Lang N. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
78', Bradaric D. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Di Lorenzo G. ⚽, Marianucci L. (A),
87', Niasse C. ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
87', Orban G. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.

Napoli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Verona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) David Neres (Ankle Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Mazzocchi P. (Red Card)

There will not play in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Ankle Injury) Belghali R. (International duty) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Beukema S. (Foot Injury) Lucca L. (Illness)

We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:19. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:6. (average 2.5:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Lazio - Napoli	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Cremonese - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
18.12.25	Napoli - Milan	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Udinese - Napoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
04.01.26	Verona - Torino	0:3 ✺
28.12.25	Milan - Verona	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Fiorentina - Verona	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Napoli - Verona	2:0
18.08.24	Verona - Napoli	3:0
04.02.24	Napoli - Verona	2:1
21.10.23	Verona - Napoli	1:3
15.04.23	Napoli - Verona	0:0
15.08.22	Verona - Napoli	2:5
13.03.22	Verona - Napoli	1:2

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