Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, DAZN
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1, DAZN, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 3
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	23:00	DAZN, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Udinese		Napoli

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.45	3.35	1.9	Watch
	4.83	3.4	1.92
	4.32	3.33	1.94	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	4.42	3.47	1.94
	4.75	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.2)	3.33 ↓ (3.47)	1.9 (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
21.3%

Draw
28.6%

Napoli
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.4%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

27%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	10.7%	82.1%

Udinese - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Udinese (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Napoli (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Napoli (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 92.17%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Napoli (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 59. Zanoli A. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 13. Bertola N. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 8. McTominay S. 20. Elmas E. 37. Spinazzola L. 7. David Neres 19. Hojlund R. 70. Lang N.
Substitutes
17. Bravo I. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.	69. Ambrosino G. 14. Contini N. (G) 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 68. Lobotka S. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Lang N. ↓, Lobotka S. ↑,
61', Beukema S. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽, Davis K. (A),
75', Buongiorno A. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
83', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
83', Elmas E. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
83', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
83', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
84', Bertola N. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
90+1', Zaniolo N. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
90+4', Zanoli A. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 0.

Udinese is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napoli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara H. (Foot Injury) Zemura J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Juan Jesus (Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:48. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Benfica - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Napoli - Udinese	1:1
14.12.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:3
06.05.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:1
27.09.23	Napoli - Udinese	4:1
04.05.23	Udinese - Napoli	1:1
12.11.22	Napoli - Udinese	3:2
19.03.22	Napoli - Udinese	2:1

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