What is the expert prediction for Udinese vs Napoli?

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Udinese vs Napoli Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 14, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, DAZN, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	DAZN, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Udinese		Napoli

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.45	3.35	1.9	Watch
	4.83	3.4	1.92
	4.32	3.33	1.94	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	4.42	3.47	1.94
	4.75	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.2)	3.33 ↓ (3.47)	1.9 (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
21.3%

Draw
28.6%

Napoli
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.4%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

27%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	10.7%	82.1%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Udinese (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Napoli (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Napoli (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 92.17%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Napoli (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 31. Kristensen T. 27. Kabasele C. 28. Solet O. 59. Zanoli A. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 13. Bertola N. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 31. Beukema S. 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 8. McTominay S. 20. Elmas E. 37. Spinazzola L. 7. David Neres 19. Hojlund R. 70. Lang N.
Substitutes
17. Bravo I. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 16. Palma M. 90. Sava R. (G) 6. Zarraga O.	69. Ambrosino G. 14. Contini N. (G) 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 68. Lobotka S. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Olivera M. 21. Politano M. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Lang N. ↓, Lobotka S. ↑,
61', Beukema S. ↓, Politano M. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Ekkelenkamp J. ⚽, Davis K. (A),
75', Buongiorno A. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
83', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
83', Elmas E. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
83', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
83', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
84', Bertola N. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
90+1', Zaniolo N. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
90+4', Zanoli A. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 0.

Udinese is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napoli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Napoli is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Atta A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara H. (Foot Injury) Zemura J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury) Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Juan Jesus (Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 20:48. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.9:1.9).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Udinese - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Benfica - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Napoli - Cagliari	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Napoli - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Napoli - Udinese	1:1
14.12.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:3
06.05.24	Udinese - Napoli	1:1
27.09.23	Napoli - Udinese	4:1
04.05.23	Udinese - Napoli	1:1
12.11.22	Napoli - Udinese	3:2
19.03.22	Napoli - Udinese	2:1

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