Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 2
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Fiorentina		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33	Watch
	2.02	3.2	4.15	Watch
	2.04	3.21	4.47
	2	3.2	4.27	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	2	3.28	4.44
	2.05	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.76)	3.16 ↓ (3.7)	4.28 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
47.6%

Draw
30.2%

Verona
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

25.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.3%	17%	10.6%

Fiorentina - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Verona will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.5% – 85.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.01) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Verona (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 7. Sohm S. 65. Parisi F. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M.	1. Montipo L. (C) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 7. Belghali R. 36. Niasse C. 73. Al Musrati 24. Bernede A. 3. Frese M. 17. Giovane 25. Mosquera D.
Substitutes
9. Dzeko E. 29. Fortini N. 60. Kouadio E. 99. Kouame C. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Mari P. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 27. Ndour C. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 91. Piccoli R. 24. Richardson A. 26. Viti M.	72. Ajayi J. 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 16. Orban G. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 9. Sarr A. 8. Serdar S. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 6. Valentini N.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Niasse C. 🟨,
32', Frese M. 🟨,
35', Giovane ↓, Orban G. ↑,
36', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
39', Al Musrati 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Orban G. ⚽, Al Musrati (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Niasse C. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
61', Ranieri L. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
62', Mandragora R. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
63', Mosquera D. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
69', Sohm S. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Nunez U. (Own goal),
75', Al Musrati ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
75', Frese M. ↓, Valentini N. ↑,
85', Belghali R. 🟨,
87', Dodo ↓, Viti M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Orban G. ⚽, Bernede A. (A),
90+5', Nunez U. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Bradaric D. (Muscle Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fagioli N. (Inactive) Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Ankle Injury) Serdar S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Fiorentina - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Verona - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Lecce - Verona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Verona - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.02.25	Verona - Fiorentina	1:0
10.11.24	Fiorentina - Verona	3:1
05.05.24	Verona - Fiorentina	2:1
17.12.23	Fiorentina - Verona	1:0
27.02.23	Verona - Fiorentina	0:3
18.09.22	Fiorentina - Verona	2:0
06.03.22	Fiorentina - Verona	1:1

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