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Fiorentina vs Verona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 14, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Fiorentina		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33	Watch
	2.02	3.2	4.15	Watch
	2.04	3.21	4.47
	2	3.2	4.27	Watch
	1.95	3	4
	2	3.28	4.44
	2.05	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.76)	3.16 ↓ (3.7)	4.28 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
47.6%

Draw
30.2%

Verona
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.3%	17%	10.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). Verona will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 59.5% – 85.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.01) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiorentina will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Verona (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. (C) 2. Dodo 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 7. Sohm S. 65. Parisi F. 10. Gudmundsson A. 20. Kean M.	1. Montipo L. (C) 5. Nunez U. 15. Nelsson V. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 7. Belghali R. 36. Niasse C. 73. Al Musrati 24. Bernede A. 3. Frese M. 17. Giovane 25. Mosquera D.
Substitutes
9. Dzeko E. 29. Fortini N. 60. Kouadio E. 99. Kouame C. 1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Mari P. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 27. Ndour C. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 91. Piccoli R. 24. Richardson A. 26. Viti M.	72. Ajayi J. 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 16. Orban G. 2. Oyegoke D. 34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Santiago Y. 9. Sarr A. 8. Serdar S. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 6. Valentini N.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Niasse C. 🟨,
32', Frese M. 🟨,
35', Giovane ↓, Orban G. ↑,
36', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
39', Al Musrati 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Orban G. ⚽, Al Musrati (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Niasse C. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
61', Ranieri L. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
62', Mandragora R. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
63', Mosquera D. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
69', Sohm S. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Nunez U. (Own goal),
75', Al Musrati ↓, Serdar S. ↑,
75', Frese M. ↓, Valentini N. ↑,
85', Belghali R. 🟨,
87', Dodo ↓, Viti M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Orban G. ⚽, Bernede A. (A),
90+5', Nunez U. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Verona: Bradaric D. (Muscle Injury) Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fagioli N. (Inactive) Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Akpa Akpro J. (Ankle Injury) Serdar S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

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Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Verona - the odds 4.69 are the expected chance of winning is 20.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Fiorentina - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Fiorentina - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Verona - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Lecce - Verona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Verona - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.02.25	Verona - Fiorentina	1:0
10.11.24	Fiorentina - Verona	3:1
05.05.24	Verona - Fiorentina	2:1
17.12.23	Fiorentina - Verona	1:0
27.02.23	Verona - Fiorentina	0:3
18.09.22	Fiorentina - Verona	2:0
06.03.22	Fiorentina - Verona	1:1

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