Match Info

Serie A - Round 17

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	15:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	15:00	DAZN France
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	22:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:00	Match 4
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	16:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Cremonese		Napoli

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.9	3.95	1.58	Watch
	5.9	3.9	1.62
	6.16	3.97	1.58	Watch
	6	3.6	1.57
	6.6	4.01	1.63
	6.33	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↑ (5.75)	3.85 ↓ (3.91)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
15.5%

Draw
24.8%

Napoli
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.6%

24.3%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

23.7%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	6.5%	78.3%

Cremonese - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cremonese (5.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cremonese (4.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cremonese (6.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (36 of 46 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.34% – 90.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Napoli (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 4. Barbieri T. 33. Grassi A. 32. Payero M. 7. Zerbin A. 3. Pezzella G. 10. Vardy J. 99. Sanabria A.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 5. Juan Jesus 21. Politano M. 68. Lobotka S. 8. McTominay S. 37. Spinazzola L. 7. David Neres 19. Hojlund R. 20. Elmas E.
Substitutes
90. Bonazzoli F. 38. Bondo W. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 20. Vazquez F.	69. Ambrosino G. 4. Buongiorno A. 14. Contini N. (G) 25. Ferrante M. (G) 3. Gutierrez M. 70. Lang N. 27. Lucca L. 35. Marianucci L. 30. Mazzocchi P. 26. Vergara A.
Coaches
Nicola D.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽,
34', Juan Jesus 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Hojlund R. ⚽, McTominay S. (A),
45+3', McTominay S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
51', Elmas E. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
58', Barbieri T. 🟨,
60', Sanabria A. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
60', Barbieri T. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
73', David Neres ↓, Buongiorno A. ↑,
77', Grassi A. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
77', Zerbin A. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
82', Bianchetti M. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
84', Bonazzoli F. 🟨,
88', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
88', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cremonese: Ceccherini F. (Red Card) Collocolo M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Gilmour B. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Bianchetti M. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Lukaku R. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Foot Injury) Olivera M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
20.12.25	Lazio - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Torino - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TLWWL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Super Cup
22.12.25	Napoli - Bologna	2:0 ✺
18.12.25	Napoli - Milan	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Udinese - Napoli	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Benfica - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.02.23	Napoli - Cremonese	3:0
Coppa Italia
17.01.23	Napoli - Cremonese	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie A
09.10.22	Cremonese - Napoli	1:4
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Napoli - Cremonese	3:3

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