Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Mladost Kruševac (Kruševac)

Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10


	Napredak Kruševac		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
				Watch
	11.5	6.5	1.18
	11.78	6.99	1.18
	13.04	6.55	1.19	Watch
	13.2	6.35	1.18
	12	6.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.3 ↑ (11.7)	6.52 ↑ (4.63)	1.18 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napredak Kruševac
7.5%

Draw
14.2%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.9%

19.9%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Crvena Zvezda (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Crvena Zvezda (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savic V. (G) 77. Drobnjak L. 31. Subert I. 7. Vukajlovic N. 23. Zlicic L. 95. Miletic V. 10. Vulic M. (C) 14. Laban L. 33. Bogdanovski N. 88. Saric M. 27. Cubra D.	1. Matheus (G) 24. Stankovic N. 25. Lekovic S. (C) 5. Rodrigo 66. Seol Young-Woo 37. Lucic V. 6. Bajo M. 7. Milson 22. Kostov V. 19. Damjanovic A. 20. Handel T.
Substitutes
84. Balevic L. (G) 12. Bastajic N. 9. Bubanj M. 19. Dordevic A. 55. Kotlajic D. 4. Krstic F. 99. Mihajlovic P. 70. Miladinovic L. 16. Skocajic D. 89. Smiljkovic A. 22. Toseski M.	71. Avdic A. 21. Elsnik T. 18. Glazer O. (G) 4. Ivanic M. 14. Olayinka P. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 23. Tiknizyan N. 13. Veljkovic M. 40. Zaric L.
Coaches
Batak R.	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Laban L. 🟨,
36', Damjanovic A. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Kostov V. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Laban L. ↓, Mihajlovic P. ↑,
46', Damjanovic A. ↓, Ivanic M. ↑,
46', Zlicic L. ↓, Bastajic N. ↑,
56', Drobnjak L. 🟨,
63', Mihajlovic P. 🟨,
67', Milson ↓, Zaric L. ↑,
67', Bajo M. ↓, Elsnik T. ↑,
67', Miletic V. ↓, Krstic F. ↑,
77', Lucic V. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
77', Saric M. ↓, Bubanj M. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Olayinka P. ⚽, Lekovic S. (A),
84', Stankovic N. ↓, Tiknizyan N. ↑,
89', Drobnjak L. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
89', Zaric L. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Seol Young-Woo ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.

Napredak is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 19 matches, and goals 5:48. (average 0.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 2:22. (average 0.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
28.09.25	Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Radnički Niš - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Napredak Kruševac - IMT Novi Beograd	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Javor Ivanjica - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
28.09.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički 1923	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic	1:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
20.09.25	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Cup
07.05.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	4:2
Serbian Superliga
15.02.25	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4
14.09.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	2:0
16.05.24	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4
03.12.23	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1
06.08.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	4:0
Serbian Cup
03.05.23	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 penalties

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