Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Celtic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.9
	2.65	3.6	2.6
	2.29	3.57	3.14
	2.66	3.51	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.82	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.66)	3.6 ↑ (3.51)	2.74 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
38.4%

Draw
26.6%

Celtic
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	20%	25.7%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Celtic will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Celtic (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Crvena Zvezda (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.01) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Crvena Zvezda (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Crvena Zvezda (1.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 11 - 55%). Celtic (votes: 6 - 30%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 13. Veljkovic M. 23. Tiknizyan N. 20. Handel T. 21. Elsnik T. 49. Radonjic N. 17. Bruno Duarte 4. Ivanic M. (C) 89. Arnautovic M.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 51. Donovan C. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 8. Nygren B. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 38. Maeda D. 23. Tounekti S.
Substitutes
71. Avdic A. 6. Bajo M. 18. Glazer O. (G) 77. Gutesa I. (G) 10. Katai A. 22. Kostov V. 25. Lekovic S. 37. Lucic V. 7. Milson 14. Olayinka P. 24. Stankovic N. 40. Zaric L.	10. Balikwisha M. 28. Bernardo P. 31. Doohan R. (G) 27. Engels A. 49. Forrest J. 17. Iheanacho K. 24. Kenny J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 56. Ralston A. 36. Saracchi M. 12. Sinisalo V. (G)
Coaches
Milojevic V.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Maeda D. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
46', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Nygren B. (A),
65', 1 - 1, Arnautovic M. ⚽, Tebo Uchenna F. (A),
68', Hatate R. ↓, Engels A. ↑,
68', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
75', Arnautovic M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
77', Tounekti S. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
80', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
82', Tierney K. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
83', Katai A. 🟨,
85', Saracchi M. 🟨,
90+1', Ivanic M. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
90+4', Iheanacho K. 🟨,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Celtic has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Sandoval K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Celtic: Inamura H. (Inactive) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Inactive) Ralston A. (Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Inactive) Trusty A. (Foot Injury) Yamada S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Krunic R. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
20.09.25	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo	7:1 ✺
31.08.25	Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.25	Paphos - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTL
- Celtic
Scottish League Cup
21.09.25	Partick Thistle - Celtic	0:4 ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.09.25	Kilmarnock - Celtic	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.25	Kairat - Celtic	1:0 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
23.08.25	Celtic - Livingston	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW

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