The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nara Club 31.8%
Draw 27.1%
Kochi United 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
28.3%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
28.2%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Nara Club - Kochi United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 22. Ikoma K. 33. Sato H. 36. Ishii T. 27. Nakayama M. 50. Shibamoto R. 10. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 20. Kunitake Y. 54. Kawasaki S. 17. Tamura S.
99. Murata Y. (G) 23. Matsumoto D. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 16. Kozuki S. 8. Takano Y. 10. Sasaki T. 88. Hama T. 11. Miyoshi R. 73. Tanaka T. 13. Kawata A.
Substitutes
18. Goto T. 37. Hamana G. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 16. Okuda Y. 47. Olasunkanmi D. 21. Tomizu R. 8. Yoshida A. 40. Yoshimura Y.
18. Aoto K. 33. Cho H. 5. Fukagawa D. 3. Fukumiya K. 7. Kanehara A. 76. Mikado Y. 1. Ono R. (G) 9. Shintani M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Shibamoto R. 🟨,
55', Miyoshi R. ↓, Cho H. ↑,
56', Tanaka T. ↓, Kanehara A. ↑,
62', Kawata A. ↓, Fukagawa D. ↑,
70', Takano Y. ↓, Mikado Y. ↑,
70', Matsumoto D. ↓, Fukumiya K. ↑,
73', Shibamoto R. ↓, Tomizu R. ↑,
73', Tamura R. ↓, Olasunkanmi D. ↑,
80', Tamura S. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
80', Ikoma K. ↓, Yoshimura Y. ↑,
80', Kawasaki S. ↓, Hamana G. ↑,
Penalties (9 - 8)
1, Morita R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Cho H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mochizuki S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kanehara A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kunitake Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kozuki S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Yoshimura Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fukumiya K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tomizu R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sasaki T. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Vito M. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Fujimori R. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Nakayama M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Fukagawa D. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Ishii T. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Kobayashi D. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Sato H. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Hama T. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Olasunkanmi D. (Penalty Awarded),
10, Mikado Y. (Penalty Awarded),
11, Hamana G. (Penalty Awarded),
11, Murata Y. (Penalty Awarded),
12, Morita R. (Penalty Awarded),
12, Cho H. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Kochi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.