The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kataller Toyama 40.4%
Draw 29.3%
Matsumoto Yamaga 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
29.7%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
31.4%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Kataller Toyama - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 2. Wakimoto K. 4. Kamiyama K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 8. Matsuoka D. 6. Sera S. 16. Sueki H. 28. Fuseya S. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M. 9. Usui S.
1. Ouchi I. (G) 44. Nonomura T. 4. Takahashi S. 2. Miyabe T. 22. Saso K. 15. Yamamoto K. 46. Yasunaga R. 40. Higuchi D. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 14. Ando T.
Substitutes
18. Ito T. 11. Matsumoto K. 26. Nabeta A. 31. Saito K. (G) 33. Takahashi Y. 17. Tsubokawa H. 27. Yoshihira T.
11. Asakawa H. 13. Hashiuchi Y. 16. Murayama T. (G) 9. Takai K. 5. Tokida M. 17. Yamamoto R. 32. Yonehara S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Yasunaga R. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Higuchi D. ⚽, Kikui Y. (A),
41', Sera S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sera S. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
46', Fuseya S. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
59', Ando T. ↓, Asakawa H. ↑,
66', Matsuoka D. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
69', Saso K. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
80', Leiria Dos Santos M. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Usui S. ⚽, Ito T. (A),
84', Yamamoto R. 🟨,
87', Murakoshi K. ↓, Yonehara S. ↑,
87', Takahashi S. ↓, Hashiuchi Y. ↑,
87', Miyabe T. ↓, Tokida M. ↑,
88', Nishiya S. ↓, Tsubokawa H. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Usui S. ⚽, Yoshihira T. (A),
90+5', Usui S. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 4.
Kataller Toyama is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Matsumoto Yamaga is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Kataller Toyama will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.6:1.2).