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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 55.6%
Draw 23.5%
Fukushima United 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
23.4%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
24.1%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Matsumoto Yamaga - Fukushima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Tomizawa M. (G) 25. Shirai T. 43. Kaneko K. 16. Miyabe T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 2. Oda I. 36. Matsumura G. 30. Sawazaki R. 40. Higuchi D. 38. Fujieda K. 39. Inoue A.
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 19. Fujita J. 17. Fujitani T. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. 10. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 6. Uehata U. 7. Ashibe K. 40. Higuchi H. 8. Okada Y.
Substitutes
50. Hayakawa K. 33. Kim J. H. (G) 44. Lee T. 27. Ninomiya J. 24. Ogawa D. 18. Ohashi H. 22. Saso K. 19. Tanaka S. 31. Watanabe N.
31. Anzai S. (G) 77. Chiba T. 32. Einaga T. 11. Miura K. 14. Nakamura T. 27. Nozue S. 9. Shimizu K. 5. Toma H. 96. Yoshida J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Tomizawa M. (Own goal),
41', 1 - 1, Fujieda K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Oda I. ⚽,
59', Okada Y. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
62', Tsuchiya K. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Tsuchiya K. ⚽, Harigaya T. (A),
75', Fujieda K. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
77', Tanaka S. 🟨,
81', Kano K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
81', Higuchi H. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
86', Inoue A. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
86', Higuchi D. ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Ashibe K. ⚽, Shimizu K. (A),
90+1', Shimizu K. 🟨,
90+1', Ashibe K. ↓, Toma H. ↑,
90+1', Fujita J. ↓, Nozue S. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Tanaka S. ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Matsumoto Yamaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Matsumoto Yamaga is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
China
Japan
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Tomizawa M. (G) 
Kim J. H. (G) 
