Match Info

J3 League - Round 31

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Nagano U Stadium (Nagano)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nagano Parceiro		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.58	Watch
	2.72	3.35	2.63
	2.63	3.18	2.63	Watch
	2.51	3.13	2.57	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.33)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	2.64 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagano Parceiro
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Kamatamare Sanuki
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

27.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Nagano Parceiro - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nagano will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kamatamare will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (C) 16. Ishii K. 7. Ono Y. 3. Tomita K. 33. Ando K. 46. Koga S. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 17. Kutsuna K. 10. Yamanaka R. 28. Fujikawa K. 11. Shin K.	1. Imamura Y. (C) 2. Uchida M. 3. Ibayashi A. 99. Tsukegi Y. 24. Ueno A. 33. Kawakami S. 6. Hasegawa H. 21. Noh S. 23. Iwagishi S. 10. Kawanishi S. 22. Ono Y.
Substitutes
5. Hasegawa Y. 20. Kano H. 8. Kondo T. 13. Konishi H. 87. Murakami Y. 2. Sakai S. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 77. Thales	7. Eguchi N. 41. Iida M. (G) 15. Iwamoto K. 5. Komatsu T. 17. Makiyama K. 88. Matsumoto K. 18. Miyaichi T. 40. Nishimaru M. 35. Sago S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Hasegawa H. (Own goal),
37', Ono Y. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Noh S. ↓, Eguchi N. ↑,
59', Iwagishi S. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
70', Ibayashi A. ↓, Komatsu T. ↑,
70', Yamanaka R. ↓, Thales ↑,
70', Ono Y. ↓, Nishimaru M. ↑,
71', Shin K. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
80', Hasegawa H. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
83', Lim Ji-hoon ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
83', Kutsuna K. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nagano won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nagano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
04.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Fukushima United - Nagano Parceiro	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
05.10.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:5 ✺
27.09.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1
24.11.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:2
16.03.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	1:1
05.11.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	2:3
09.04.23	Nagano Parceiro - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:0
30.07.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1
27.03.22	Nagano Parceiro - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:1

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