Match Info

J3 League - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Nara Club		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.5	3.3	1.96
	3.94	3.4	1.94
	2.67	3.18	2.62
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.98	3.31	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.7)	3.26 ↓ (3.45)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
26.4%

Draw
28.3%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.5%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nara Club's form might have worsened.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nara Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Nara Club - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 33. Sato H. 5. Suzuki D. 32. Yu Y. 28. Kawai D. 14. Nakashima K. 10. Yamamoto S. 70. Kawatani N. 11. Hyakuda M. 9. Sakai T.	32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 50. Yasuda K. 47. Okumura K. 20. Ano M. 18. Yoshizawa S. 41. Sakai S. 11. Hashimoto K.
Substitutes
8. Horiuchi H. 22. Ikoma K. 25. Kamigaki R. 20. Kunitake Y. 6. Nakayama M. 15. Okada S. (G) 23. Okada Y. 7. Tamura R. 17. Tamura S.	40. Ando R. 55. Aoki K. (G) 10. Inoue R. 34. Kawai T. 48. Kihara J. 43. Morita R. 13. Nakano K. 6. Okuma K. 45. Tanaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Yasuda K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kawai D. ↓, Okada Y. ↑,
46', Hyakuda M. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
46', Sakai T. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
47', Yoshizawa S. 🟨,
63', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
70', Yamamoto S. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
71', Yu Y. ↓, Nakayama M. ↑,
76', Sakai S. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
76', Okumura K. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
87', Ano M. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
87', Matsumoto Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Inoue R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Nara Club have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nara Club - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Kagoshima United - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Nara Club - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Nara Club - Gifu	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLTT
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kochi United	3:2 ✺
20.04.25	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
22.09.24	Nara Club - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:2
06.04.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nara Club	2:1
01.10.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nara Club	0:1
03.05.23	Nara Club - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:0

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