Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Manfredonia		Nardo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.68
	2.38	3.44	2.62	Watch
	2.39	3.24	2.6
	2.37	3.2	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.4)	3.27 ↓ (3.36)	2.65 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manfredonia
38.2%

Draw
27.7%

Nardo
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manfredonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manfredonia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Manfredonia - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, D'Anna S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Babaj D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

In recent matches, Manfredonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nardo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manfredonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Manfredonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manfredonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Nola - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Manfredonia - Heraclea	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gravina - Manfredonia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Manfredonia - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paganese - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTTL
- ACD Nardo
Italian Serie D - Group H
30.11.25	Nardo - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pompei - Nardo	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Nardo - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Francavilla - Nardo	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nardo - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.25	Nardo - Manfredonia	0:1
23.10.24	Manfredonia - Nardo	1:3
28.03.24	Manfredonia - Nardo	1:0
19.11.23	Nardo - Manfredonia	1:1

Manfredonia - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide