Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rakvere Linnastaadion (Rakvere) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Davey A. (Nir)


	Narva Trans		Pyunik

	1	X	2
	19	5.75	1.17	Watch
	15	6.5	1.17
	19	5.5	1.16
	21	5.5	1.18
	21.35	5.65	1.2
	18.75	7.1	1.15
	19	7.6	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.01 ↑ (5.5)	6.23 ↑ (4.5)	1.17 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans
4.9%

Draw
15%

Pyunik
80.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17%

20.8%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

20.2%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans's form might have worsened.

Pyunik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pyunik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pyunik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Narva Trans - Pyunik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kraizmer A. (G) 17. Skinjov A. 18. Markovic A. 4. Kauan 27. Nikolajev A. 21. Maksimkin M. 19. Elysee I. (C) 7. Tarassenkov D. 11. Pevtsov G. 8. Suarez H. 20. Burenko M.	71. Buchnev S. (G) 90. Miljkovic A. 27. Baranov N. 95. Bratkov A. 6. Juninho 11. Harutyunyan H. 9. Dashyan A. 7. Malakyan E. (C) 14. Otubanjo Y. 2. Juricic L. 5. James
Substitutes
23. Jegorov A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 9. Koskor T. 29. Kudryashov V. 5. Kulinits A. 88. Matrossov A. (G) 77. Polyakov D. 3. Sibul D. 22. Zuravljov E.	21. Avagyan A. 16. Avagyan H. (G) 8. Bravo J. 18. Caraballo J. 97. Davidyan D. 23. Goncalves V. 10. Grigoryan A. 17. Karasyuk R. 32. Mikaelyan S. (G) 19. Vardanyan L. 20. Villela L.
Coaches
Terehhov S.	Melikyan E.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Narva Trans is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pyunik is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Narva Trans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pyunik is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Narva Trans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Pyunik - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.07.23	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	0:4 ✺
01.07.23	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
27.06.23	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Narva Trans - Tammeka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Pyunik Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Pyunik - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
06.06.23	Alashkert - Pyunik	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
26.05.23	BKMA Yerevan - Pyunik	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Pyunik - Lernayin Artsakh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Pyunik - Narva Trans	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
01.11.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	✺
- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
30.10.26	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	✺

Narva Trans - Pyunik