Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Narva Kreenholmi staadion (Narva)

Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)


	Narva Trans		Tallinna JK Legion

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	6.5
	1.37	4.35	6.1
	1.37	4.5	7
	1.4	4.88	6.96
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.34	4.65	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.45)	4.5 (4.5)	7.03 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans
66.8%

Draw
20.3%

Tallinna JK Legion
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.1%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Narva Trans - Tallinna JK Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Narva Trans won 3.

Narva Trans is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legion is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Narva Trans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Narva Trans have a series of home games.

Recently Legion have a series of guest games.

In this match Narva Trans is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Narva Trans won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Narva Trans won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.09.22	Narva Trans - Tammeka	0:0 ✺
30.08.22	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Narva Trans - Tallinna JK Legion	2:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
17.08.22	Narva Trans - FCI Tallinn	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLWW
- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.09.22	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1 ✺
30.08.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Tallinna Kalev	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Tammeka - Tallinna JK Legion	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Narva Trans - Tallinna JK Legion	2:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
17.08.22	Flora Tallinn - Tallinna JK Legion	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
20.08.22	Narva Trans - Tallinna JK Legion	2:1
07.05.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans	1:0
02.03.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans	0:2
04.12.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans	0:2
14.08.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans	0:0
15.05.21	Narva Trans - Tallinna JK Legion	0:3
07.04.21	Narva Trans - Tallinna JK Legion	0:0

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