Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Atlético Paso

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.61	3.4	5
	1.46	3.8	6.6
	1.5	3.79	6.3
	1.58	3.61	6.2
	1.46	3.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	6.12 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
60.1%

Draw
25%

Atlético Paso
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Boukir O. 🟥,
30', 1 - 0, Monerris A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Navalcarnero is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Atlético Paso is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Navalcarnero to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Navalcarnero - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWWL
- Atlético Paso
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Illescas - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1
11.02.24	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	1:1
01.10.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	0:0
14.05.23	Navalcarnero - Atlético Paso	2:0
15.01.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	2:1

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