The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Numancia 61.7%
Draw 22.9%
Navalcarnero 15.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.8%
25.1%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
24%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Numancia - Navalcarnero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 9th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Numancia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Numancia carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Numancia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Numancia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
Spain
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