Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Navalcarnero		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.98
	3.8	3.1	2
	3.65	3.3	2
	3.99	3.14	1.93
	3.9	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.92	3.25	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.15)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	2 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
24.7%

Draw
28.7%

UD Logroñés
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.7%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD Logroñés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Navalcarnero - UD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Navalcarnero will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Logroñés will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Navalcarnero is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Logroñés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Logroñés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Don Benito - Navalcarnero	2:4 ✺
30.10.22	Navalcarnero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Estepona - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTLWW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.22	UD Logroñés - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Intercity - UD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Alcoyano - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	UD Logroñés - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Osasuna B - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.04.17	UD Logroñés - Navalcarnero	4:0
06.11.16	Navalcarnero - UD Logroñés	2:2

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