Match Info

Super League - Round 25

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Xorazm Stadium (Urgench) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)


	Xorazm Urganch		Navbahor Namangan

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.90	1.51
	5.1	3.8	1.5
	5.91	4.05	1.55
	5.6	3.97	1.52	Watch
	5.75	3.85	1.49
	5.77	4.03	1.54
	5.4	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↓ (5.9)	3.94 ↑ (3.75)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xorazm Urganch
16.6%

Draw
23.2%

Navbahor Namangan
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

24.6%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

24.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xorazm Urganch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Xorazm Urganch - Navbahor Namangan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Navbahor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Ergashev U. (G) 55. Pirmukhamedov A. 5. Otakhonov A. (C) 25. Rom M. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 88. Khusinov A. 96. Rafael Sabino 8. Abdikholikov N. 9. Azimov S. 94. Abdukhamidov R. 10. Rafael Tavares	1. Yusupov U. (G) 22. Adkhamzoda U. 34. Jgerenaia G. 4. Mamatkazin I. 55. Khamraliev M. 8. Kholmatov D. 13. Teidi B. 17. Giyosov M. 30. Jaloliddinov J. 23. Ilic V. 11. Norchaev K.
Substitutes
79. Akhrorov A. 90. Hoshimov U. 7. Ismoilov T. 34. Izzatov S. 13. Lohan 1. Mukhammadjonov M. (G) 6. Muzaffarov N. 12. Shiryaev M. 3. Sultonov R.	44. Chichinadze A. 7. Jiyanov R. 28. Kojo J. 5. Komilov D. 2. Mirsaidov S. 18. Musaxonov I. 21. Rakhimzhonov A. 77. Usmonov M. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
Coaches
Sultonov V.	Kapadze T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Khusinov A. (Own goal),
28', Rafael Tavares 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Norchaev K. ⚽, Adkhamzoda U. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdikholikov N. ↓, Izzatov S. ↑,
46', Otakhonov A. ↓, Lohan ↑,
48', Teidi B. 🟨,
52', Khusinov A. ↓, Shiryaev M. ↑,
56', Giyosov M. ↓, Jiyanov R. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Rafael Tavares ⚽, Lohan (A),
74', Ilic V. ↓, Komilov D. ↑,
74', Teidi B. ↓, Rakhimzhonov A. ↑,
78', Rafael Tavares ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
90+1', Norchaev K. ↓, Kojo J. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Super League (Relegation) and 3rd).

Recent results have been tough for Xorazm (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Navbahor shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Navbahor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Navbahor carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Xorazm has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.8:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Xorazm against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Navbahor Namangan	25	14	7	4	44:25	19	49
15	Xorazm Urganch	25	5	8	12	21:36	-15	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
16.10.26	Surkhon Termez - Xorazm Urganch	0:0 ✺
07.10.26	Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch	2:2 ✺
21.09.26	Xorazm Urganch - Qizilqum	1:3 ✺
Uzbek Cup
16.09.26	AGMK - Xorazm Urganch	2:1 ✺
Uzbek League
10.09.26	Xorazm Urganch - Sogdiana Jizzakh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLLT
- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek Cup
21.10.26	Navbahor Namangan - Gazalkent	3:1 ✺
Uzbek League
17.10.26	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	AGMK - Navbahor Namangan	2:2 ✺
17.09.26	Navbahor Namangan - Dinamo Samarqand	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Buxoro - Navbahor Namangan	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
02.08.26	Navbahor Namangan - Xorazm Urganch	5:1
03.10.25	Xorazm Urganch - Navbahor Namangan	1:1
Uzbek Cup
02.07.25	Xorazm Urganch - Navbahor Namangan	1:3
Uzbek League
11.05.25	Navbahor Namangan - Xorazm Urganch	1:0

Xorazm Urganch - Navbahor Namangan