Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Needham Market		Southport

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2
	3.2	3.25	2
	3.5	3.5	1.95
	3.47	3.61	2.04
	3.45	3.51	2.04
	3.42	3.44	2.02
	3.5	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.43)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	2 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
27.2%

Draw
26.6%

Southport
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Needham Market's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Needham Market, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Needham Market - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Hammond K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Lloyd-McGoldrick D. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Proctor J. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Needham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Southport in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Southport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Southport have a series of home games.

Southport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
10.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Needham Market - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Needham Market - Maldon & Tiptree	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Felixstowe & Walton United - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Needham Market - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- Southport
English National League North
10.08.24	Southport - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Southport - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Southport - Morecambe	Canceled ✺
27.07.24	Cliftonville - Southport	1:1 ✺
23.07.24	Southport - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WW?TW

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