Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 13

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Needham Market		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	3.95
	1.7	4	4
	2.00	3.51	3.41	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2)	3.72 ↑ (3.51)	3.85 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
51.5%

Draw
24.7%

Bury Town
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

26.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Needham Market's performance.

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Needham Market that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Needham Market - Bury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Needham will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bury Town will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Needham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Morphew D. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Neal J. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Cowling M. ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, Parr T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 4 - 1, Miles R. ⚽,
59', 4 - 2, Davis M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

In recent matches, Needham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bury Town is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bury Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Needham is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Needham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Needham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	Needham Market - Stourbridge	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Weston-super-Mare - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Chatham Town - Needham Market	1:0 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Needham Market - Bishops Stortford	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Needham Market - Stamford	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.10.25	Quorn - Bury Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Bury Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	4:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Bury Town - Spalding United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.21	Bury Town - Needham Market	3:1
08.09.20	Needham Market - Bury Town	3:1

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