Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Quorn		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.15
	1.59	4.34	4.38
	1.77	3.76	4.06	Watch
	1.63	3.94	4.93
	1.76	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	3.88 ↑ (3.76)	4.3 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quorn
54.8%

Draw
23.8%

Bury Town
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quorn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Quorn - Bury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Fifield K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Goodson Z. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Quorn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bury Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Quorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Quorn is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.25	Alvechurch - Quorn	3:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Quorn - Corby Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Enfield Town - Quorn	5:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Quorn - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Quorn - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.25	Bury Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Sudbury Town - Bury Town	4:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Bury Town - Spalding United	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bury Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLL

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