Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday


	Needham Market		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	1.79	3.6	3.5
	1.85	3.94	3.54
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.82	3.68	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	3.6 ↑ (3.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
49.7%

Draw
25.1%

Hednesford Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

22.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Needham Market that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hednesford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Needham Market - Hednesford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Needham will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hednesford will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Needham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hednesford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Needham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Needham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Needham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
03.12.22	Stourbridge - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Coalville Town - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	St Ives Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Basford United - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Needham Market - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTLW
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.12.22	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	St Ives Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Stourbridge - Hednesford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Kings Langley - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
08.01.22	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	3:3
14.08.21	Hednesford Town - Needham Market	2:1
01.02.20	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	4:3
31.08.19	Hednesford Town - Needham Market	0:1

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