Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.87
	1.98	3.7	2.75
	2.07	3.7	2.8
	2.13	3.88	2.84
	2.05	3.75	2.75
	2.15	3.5	2.92
	2.1	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.29)	3.66 ↑ (3.58)	2.83 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
43.5%

Draw
24.7%

Stratford Town
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

21.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Stratford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Hednesford Town - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2.

Hednesford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stratford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hednesford have a series of guest games.

Hednesford will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.11.22	St Ives Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Stourbridge - Hednesford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Kings Langley - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Hednesford Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.11.22	Stratford Town - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Mickleover Sports - Stratford Town	4:3 ✺
12.11.22	Coalville Town - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Stratford Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Barwell - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.08.22	Stratford Town - Hednesford Town	1:0
05.03.22	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	1:2
22.02.22	Stratford Town - Hednesford Town	1:0
10.10.20	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	4:2
21.12.19	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	1:0
19.11.19	Stratford Town - Hednesford Town	4:1

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