Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	St Ives Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.94	3.55	3.2
	1.99	3.73	3.32
	1.91	3.75	3.3
	1.9	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)	3.61 ↑ (3.58)	3.29 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Ives Town
47.2%

Draw
25.2%

Hednesford Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

23.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

St Ives Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

St Ives will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches St Ives won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams St Ives won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
19.11.22	St Ives Town - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
14.11.22	Barwell - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	St Ives Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	St Ives Town - Rushall Olympic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
22.11.22	Stourbridge - Hednesford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Kings Langley - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Hednesford Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.03.22	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:1
23.10.21	St Ives Town - Hednesford Town	2:4
10.03.20	St Ives Town - Hednesford Town	1:1

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