The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftchi Fargona 53.6%
Draw 27.2%
Dinamo Samarqand 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.8%
24.9%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
23.6%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Neftchi Fargona - Dinamo Samarqand Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 20. Gofurov A. 4. Ciger B. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 6. Yuldoshev I. 7. Ismoilov A. 23. Djokic J. 5. Alibaev I. 37. Odilov A. 9. Kojo J. 10. Iskanderov J.
13. Yagudin R. (G) 20. Jumaboev J. 18. Kucherenko O. 6. Urozov J. 21. Abdusalomov J. 55. Pletnev D. 16. Friday R. 7. Ratinho 77. Makhamadzhonov M. 10. Khozhimirzaev A. 37. Abdurakhmonov F.
Substitutes
24. Gulyamov G. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 15. Nematzhonov S. 11. Ruziev K. 34. Sayfiev F. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 33. Yoqubjonov S.
4. Abdirasulov A. 22. Abdullaev U. 12. Hoshimov A. 11. Khalilov K. 14. Nasimov B. 27. Nemanov E. (G) 23. Oblakulov B. 88. Stanojevic M.
Coaches
Levchenko V.
Abramov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Khozhimirzaev A. ⚽,
21', Abdusalomov J. 🟨,
34', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yagudin R. ↓, Nemanov E. ↑,
74', Friday R. ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
77', Odilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
77', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
78', Gofurov A. 🟨,
81', Jumaboev J. 🟨,
81', Abdurakhmonov F. ↓, Khalilov K. ↑,
81', Abdusalomov J. ↓, Stanojevic M. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Jovovic V. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Dinamo Samarqand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).