Match Info

FNL - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	3.11	3.05	2.58
	2.99	2.99	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.64)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	2.54 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
31.1%

Draw
31.5%

Spartak Kostroma
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

33%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

33.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Kostroma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Kostroma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (C) 70. Bober I. 10. Kokoev D. 14. Mashukov I. 15. Nikitin A. 28. Platonov P. 6. Rodin D. 75. Shadrintsev D. 90. Shiltsov K. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.	25. Sappa D. (G) 3. Bugriev S. (C) 35. Enin I. 88. Gogic F. 18. Ignatiev M. 90. Kalmykov A. 9. Khubaev D. 19. Lyakh V. 11. Nazarenko E. 10. Pantelic D. 2. Tarasov N.
Substitutes
77. Gvenetadze A. 24. Kakhidze A. 9. Magomedov R. 53. Moiseev K. 5. Musalov M. 43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 12. Shiryaev M. 16. Shorkin M. 2. Sitdikov M. 88. Titov D.	7. Bokov D. 23. Chikanchi M. 69. Chursin K. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 78. Kiselev G. 77. Meshcheryakov I. 13. Rubtsov I. 8. Sadov D. 57. Tlekhugov M. 17. Uridia G.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Ashikhmin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Mashukov I. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Kalmykov A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Platonov P. ↓, Shiryaev M. ↑,
46', Valiakhmetov E. ↓, Musalov M. ↑,
57', Mashukov I. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
57', Rodin D. ↓, Kakhidze A. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Magomedov R. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Shiltsov K. ⚽,
71', Enin I. ↓, Meshcheryakov I. ↑,
71', Pantelic D. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,
72', Shadrintsev D. ↓, Sitdikov M. ↑,
82', Nazarenko E. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
87', Lyakh V. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Magomedov R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spartak Kostroma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neftekhimik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% Neftekhimik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12

Last Results with these Odds

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
10.04.26	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Rotor - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sokol Saratov - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTW
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
11.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Spartak Kostroma - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Spartak Kostroma - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1

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