Match Info

A Lyga - Relegation - Final

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis (Klaipeda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT TV


	Neptūnas		Riteriai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.07	3.5	2.27
	2.52	3.61	2.52	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.24	Watch
	2.54	3.8	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.54)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
33.8%

Draw
26.1%

Riteriai
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

23.9%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

23.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Neptūnas - Riteriai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agalarov A. (G) 3. Badmus O. 24. Shults K. 23. Skurdelis A. (C) 19. Trakselis A. 14. Kawachi Y. 33. Ankudinovas A. 10. Diawara H. 8. Hevlych T. 92. Bondarev N. 11. Zubauskas D.	33. Tuta A. (G) 3. Bulatovic V. 32. Arthur Pierino 6. Karamarko M. 24. Usavicius J. 28. Acolatse C. 7. Estevez Fernandez L. 11. Kaulinis A. 8. Sveistrys A. (C) 17. Rimpa D. 9. Mikulenas M.
Substitutes
30. Bondarev D. 95. Elivelton 15. Jermolajev E. 89. Komza D. (G) 17. Kudzin R. 69. Omokhoa D. 7. Smulkys E. 39. Stonys V. 6. Sulzickij V. 42. Vaitkus J.	21. Alekna T. 92. Andraikenas K. (G) 10. Civilka S. 71. Dedura M. 98. Denilson 27. Gelombickas D. 35. Harapko P. 50. Latvys M. 84. Lipinskas D. 18. Novikovas A. 37. Sankin A. (G)
Coaches
Lutkov O.	Vaiciunas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Trakselis A. 🟨,
44', Bulatovic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Estevez Fernandez L. ↓, Civilka S. ↑,
58', Usavicius J. ↓, Denilson ↑,
62', Bondarev N. ↓, Smulkys E. ↑,
62', Hevlych T. ↓, Omokhoa D. ↑,
68', Ankudinovas A. 🟨,
70', Skurdelis A. 🟨,
77', Kawachi Y. ↓, Sulzickij V. ↑,
86', Kaulinis A. ↓, Harapko P. ↑,
90+3', Sveistrys A. 🟨,
90+3', Zubauskas D. ↓, Elivelton ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Neptūnas has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Riteriai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neptūnas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, Neptūnas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
09.11.25	Neptūnas - Panevėžys 2	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	1:5 ✺
03.10.25	Neptūnas - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.11.25	Dainava Alytus - Riteriai	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Riteriai	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Riteriai - Banga Gargždai	2:2 ✺
22.10.25	Panevėžys - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Riteriai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.24	Neptūnas - Riteriai	2:3
27.06.24	Riteriai - Neptūnas	5:1

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