Match Info

Challenge League - Round 35

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade de la Maladière (Neuchâtel)

Referee: Schelbli L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.65	2.98
	2.1	3.92	3.2
	2.11	3.68	3.15	Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	2.02	3.58	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.36)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	3.06 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
44.6%

Draw
25.2%

Étoile Carouge
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Étoile will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Omeragic E. (G) 16. Seydoux L. 15. Epitaux Y. 5. Hajrulahu L. 3. Fontana J. 4. Abedini E. (C) 81. Carraco D. 11. Ben Seghir S. 99. Mulaj L. 19. Hautier J. 90. Nvendo Ferrier V.	1. Antonio S. (C) 25. Felder V. 4. Strohbach I. 14. Zrankeon G. 23. Philippin R. 77. Escorza T. 6. El Jaouhari M. 10. Caslei B. 27. Correia O. 11. Samba T. 17. Sene O.
Substitutes
35. Azemi A. 17. Bayard R. 9. Demhasaj S. 7. Facchinetti M. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 20. Kone K. 25. Krasniqi J. 36. Reinhard S. 2. Sidibe I.	58. Bossiwa S. 99. Bouchlarhem T. 33. Bua K. 18. Diallo M. M. (G) 24. Fankhauser S. 3. Hoxha F. 76. Itaitinga 2. Neves D. 20. Walker M.
Coaches
Braizat A.	Nogueira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ben Seghir S. ⚽,
36', Mulaj L. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Hajrulahu L. ⚽, Mulaj L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Nvendo Ferrier V. ↓, Demhasaj S. ↑,
61', Hautier J. ↓, Kone K. ↑,
61', Carraco D. ↓, Bayard R. ↑,
61', Sene O. ↓, Bouchlarhem T. ↑,
61', Philippin R. ↓, Hoxha F. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Demhasaj S. ⚽, Kone K. (A),
72', Mulaj L. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
73', Samba T. ↓, Itaitinga ↑,
73', Escorza T. ↓, Bua K. ↑,
73', Correia O. ↓, Bossiwa S. ↑,
83', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Facchinetti M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 3.

Xamax is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Étoile has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Xamax will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Xamax: Bergsma L. (Inactive) Deme M. (Injury) Sacramento dos Santos G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Étoile: Boulkous N. (Inactive) Essiena Avang L. (Yellow Cards) Harrington F. (Injury) Ricardo Alves (Inactive) Rufli V. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Xamax	9	4	0	5	12:17	-5	12
8	Etoile-Carouge	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Neuchâtel Xamax - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.58%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
08.05.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Yverdon - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWTW
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
08.05.26	Étoile Carouge - Vaduz	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Yverdon - Étoile Carouge	3:5 ✺
24.04.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Étoile Carouge	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
13.02.26	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3
17.10.25	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:2
22.08.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	2:1
09.05.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	1:2
07.02.25	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1
18.10.24	Neuchâtel Xamax - Étoile Carouge	0:3
26.07.24	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1

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