The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neuchâtel Xamax 36.2%
Draw 24.4%
Aarau 39.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.8%
22.9%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
22.5%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax - Aarau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 4th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.
In recent outings, Xamax has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aarau is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Xamax has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:38 (averaging 1.2:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Xamax against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:16 goals (averaging 1.1:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Xamax
11
5
1
5
15:17
-2
16
6
Aarau
11
3
3
5
16:20
-4
12
Last Results with these Odds
Neuchâtel Xamax - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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