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Current Win Probability
Aarau 28.8%
Draw 23.6%
Zürich 47.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20%
22.8%
57.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
22.2%
58.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarau's performance.
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zürich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zürich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aarau - Zürich Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Hirzel A. (G) 2. Thaler M. (C) 5. Acquah D. 3. Guzzo R. 29. Dickenmann M. 6. Aliu I. 31. Petit-Viretti V. 42. Senyurt B. 11. Koide H. 18. Afriyie D. 7. Guindo M.
1. Huber S. (G) 47. Lichtenstein D. 2. Kamberi L. (C) 21. Schodler L. 43. Volken N. 17. Spadanuda K. 38. Reichmuth M. 23. Berisha V. 7. Krasniqi B. 11. Emmanuel U. 19. Keny P. P.
Substitutes
24. Arkovic T. 80. Beka Beka A. 16. Bizzarri A. 28. Coric D. 38. Frei M. (G) 23. Jordan E. 15. Muller S. 20. Ndau K. 27. Obexer L.
8. Comenencia L. 39. Diawara S. 14. Di Giusto N. 42. Hack A. 48. Ihendu D. 13. Lindner H. (G) 49. Ramic D. 4. Segura J. 46. Stiel J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Senyurt B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Berisha V. ↓, Comenencia L. ↑,
60', Aliu I. 🟨,
64', Reichmuth M. 🟨,
65', Senyurt B. ↓, Obexer L. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Afriyie D. ⚽,
74', Spadanuda K. ↓, Ramic D. ↑,
75', Koide H. ↓, Beka Beka A. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Afriyie D. ⚽,
83', Reichmuth M. 🟨,
87', Dickenmann M. ↓, Muller S. ↑,
87', Aliu I. ↓, Ndau K. ↑,
87', Guindo M. ↓, Bizzarri A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 2.
Aarau has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Zürich shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Zürich carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Aarau has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:36 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aarau against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Zürich - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.22%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
Watch
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Hirzel A. (G) 
Acquah D. 
Petit-Viretti V. 
Guindo M. 
Berisha V. 
Emmanuel U. 
Keny P. P. 
Arkovic T. 
Bizzarri A. 
Ndau K. 
Comenencia L. 
Diawara S. 
Hack A. 
Lindner H. (G) 
Ramic D. 
Segura J. 
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