The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution II 50.3%
Draw 22.7%
Crown Legacy 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
26.2%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
25.7%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Revolution II's performance.
Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
New England Revolution II - Crown Legacy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Parisian D. (G) 30. McIntosh D. 6. Dahlin G. 5. Souza V. 3. Barry H. 50. Mussenden J. 35. Oliveira C. 39. Marcos Dias 32. Fry M. 9. Butts L. 11. Diarbian G.
42. Walker I. (G) 39. Neeley J. 64. Agyemang M. 63. Holt W. 24. Thomas M. 70. Uchegbu E. 55. Coulibaly B. 48. John A. 27. Berchimas N. 68. Sing D. 88. Thiago
Substitutes
8. Buck J. 69. Emerhi G. 21. George S. 13. Gunn J. (G) 20. Hutchinson D. 44. Katsell L. 25. Mbai Assem C. 53. Prajapati A. 17. Tsicoulias M.
51. Holliday N. (G) 89. Mendoza A. 54. Ouedraogo A. 41. Romero B. 43. Sangoquiza W. 91. Smalls M. 60. Subotic A. 44. Tcheuyap Y. 95. Tonidandel S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Barry H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Thomas M. 🟨,
58', Coulibaly B. ↓, Tonidandel S. ↑,
58', Sing D. ↓, Subotic A. ↑,
63', Mussenden J. 🟨,
68', Mussenden J. ↓, Buck J. ↑,
68', McIntosh D. ↓, Emerhi G. ↑,
68', Butts L. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
68', Barry H. ↓, Tsicoulias M. ↑,
71', John A. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
71', Thomas M. ↓, Ouedraogo A. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Subotic A. ⚽, Ouedraogo A. (A), Berchimas N. (A2)
81', Tonidandel S. 🟨,
84', Uchegbu E. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
85', Diarbian G. ↓, George S. ↑,
90+4', Emerhi G. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
New England II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In recent matches, New England II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crown Legacy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Crown Legacy has had a series of home games.
New England II will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New England II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, New England II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
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Parisian D. (G) 
Dahlin G. 
Barry H. 
Marcos Dias 
Butts L. 
Agyemang M. 
Uchegbu E. 
Coulibaly B. 
Emerhi G. 
Gunn J. (G) 
Mbai Assem C. 
Ouedraogo A. 
Sangoquiza W. 
Smalls M. 
Subotic A. 
Tcheuyap Y. 
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