Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday


	New England Revolution II		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4.4	3.55	1.67
	4.72	3.94	1.67
	4	3.5	1.75
	4.25	3.66	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (2.81)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.72 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New England Revolution II
21.4%

Draw
25.6%

Greenville Triumph
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

19.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Revolution II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution II's form might have worsened.

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greenville Triumph's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greenville Triumph, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

New England Revolution II - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Greenville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently New England II have a series of guest games.

In this match Greenville is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Revolution II
USL League One
30.06.21	Forward Madison - New England Revolution II	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	New England Revolution II - North Texas	3:0 ✺
19.06.21	Forward Madison - New England Revolution II	0:2 ✺
12.06.21	Union Omaha - New England Revolution II	4:2 ✺
05.06.21	Richmond Kickers - New England Revolution II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
26.06.21	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
23.06.21	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
19.06.21	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
16.06.21	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
13.06.21	North Texas - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLWL

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