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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 2 74.9%
Draw 14.6%
Cincinnati 2 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
17.6%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
16.9%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls 2's performance.
Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
72. Szewczyk T. (G) 94. Baitinger S. 36. Dieujuste L. 49. Munson J. 5. Valencia O. 39. Benedetti N. 61. Cadigan D. 80. Worth N. (C) 79. Mosquera R. 66. Rosborough T. 83. Rodriguez B.
89. Dale C. (G) 85. Lester D. 70. Born L. 48. Lachekar S. 50. Samson F. 82. Sphire C. 57. Orejarena L. (C) 45. Gray N. 54. Mize J. 42. Vazquez M. 30. Chavez A.
Substitutes
68. Castro B. 55. Causey A. (G) 45. Faello C. 89. Gallagher C. 52. Modelo A. 95. Odeyinka M. 71. Sanchez A. 62. Sokoloff P.
78. Beabout O. 55. Lajhar A. 83. Malilo C. 49. Ndoye A. 95. Paz D. (G) 52. Ramos Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Munson J. 🟨,
25', Samson F. 🟨,
35', Benedetti N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Mize J. ⚽, Vazquez M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rosborough T. ↓, Faello C. ↑,
55', Mize J. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
60', Mosquera R. ↓, Modelo A. ↑,
66', Born L. ↓, Malilo C. ↑,
69', Chavez A. 🟨,
77', Dieujuste L. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
77', Rodriguez B. ↓, Sokoloff P. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Gallagher C. ⚽, Baitinger S. (A),
85', Lester D. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
85', Gray N. ↓, Ramos Y. ↑,
90+7', Munson J. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Worth N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Vazquez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Baitinger S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Orejarena L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cadigan D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Chavez A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gallagher C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Samson F. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Valencia O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 1.
New York Red Bulls 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cincinnati 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cincinnati 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, New York Red Bulls 2 has had a series of away games.
In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 2.1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2.5:2.5).
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Szewczyk T. (G) 
Valencia O. 
Benedetti N. 
Lachekar S. 
Samson F. 
Vazquez M. 
Odeyinka M. 
Lajhar A. 
Ndoye A. 
Ramos Y. 
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