Match Info

NSW League One - Round 25

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Newcastle Jets U23		Hills United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.35
	2.82	3.65	2.05
	2.82	3.78	2.03
	2.54	3.89	2.26
	2.75	3.7	2.01
	2.85	3.76	2.06
	2.85	3.7	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.38)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets U23
33.1%

Draw
24.4%

Hills United
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hills United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hills United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newcastle Jets U23 - Hills United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

Newcastle Jets U23 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hills United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Newcastle Jets U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle Jets U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
18.07.26	Western City Rangers - Newcastle Jets U23	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23	7:2 ✺
27.06.26	Inter Lions - Newcastle Jets U23	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Hills United
Australian NSW League One
18.07.26	Hills United - Hakoah Sydney City East	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Inter Lions - Hills United	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Hills United - Northern Tigers	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Hills United	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Hills United - Prospect United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
11.04.26	Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23	1:2
14.06.25	Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23	2:0
01.03.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Hills United	2:1

Newcastle Jets U23 - Hills United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide