The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa 54.9%
Draw 23.9%
Everton 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
23.6%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
22.5%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Aston Villa - Everton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. D'Angelo S. (G) 14. Wilms L. 4. Patten A. 24. Deslandes O. 16. Maritz N. 21. Kendall L. 25. Taylor M. 7. Kearns M. (C) 38. Maltby R. 18. Mullet G. 20. Hanson K.
12. Ramsey E. (G) 7. Wheeler C. (C) 5. Fernandez M. 27. Stenevik E. 33. Pacheco M. 8. van Gool R. 30. Mace R. 9. Oyedupe Payne A. 6. Hayashi H. 18. Vignola O. 11. Gago K.
Substitutes
9. Daly R. 2. Mayling S. 26. Roebuck E. (G) 22. Sallaway L. 17. Salmon E. 43. Scott K. 44. Seymour I.
3. Ishikawa R. 4. Issy 34. Jones E. 13. Kitagawa H. 16. Ladd H. 29. Momiki Y. 40. Startup K. (G) 24. Weir K.
Coaches
Arroyo N.
Sorensen B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Gago K. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
45+8', 1 - 1, Mullet G. ⚽, Maritz N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Stenevik E. ↓, Ishikawa R. ↑,
54', Maritz N. 🟨,
55', Hayashi H. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Hanson K. ⚽, Mullet G. (A),
63', Maritz N. ↓, Mayling S. ↑,
64', Hanson K. ↓, Salmon E. ↑,
65', Pacheco M. ↓, Kitagawa H. ↑,
65', Hayashi H. ↓, Ladd H. ↑,
66', Oyedupe Payne A. ↓, Momiki Y. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Kitagawa H. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
74', Taylor M. ↓, Daly R. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Mace R. (Own goal),
90+4', 3 - 3, Gago K. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
Aston Villa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Everton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
In this match, Aston Villa is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Baijings J.
(Knee Injury)
Gabi Nunes
(Knock)
Staniforth L.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Everton: Brosnan C.
(Knee Injury)
Finnigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Hope L.
(Inactive)
Ishikawa R.
(Knee Injury)
Snoeijs K.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.2:2.5).