Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
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World	beIN Sports Connect


	Newcastle United		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	1.2	7.5	11
	1.24	7	10
	1.23	7.2	12.5	Watch
	1.24	7.59	11.73
	1.22	7.59	11.73
	1.25	7	10
	1.28	7.13	11	Watch
	1.24	6.9	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)	7.24 ↑ (5.22)	11.12 ↑ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
78%

Draw
13.3%

Sheffield United
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.8%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.

Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	10.6%	8.5%

Newcastle United - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dubravka M. (G) 21. Livramento V. 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. (C) 20. Hall L. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Guimaraes B. 32. Anderson E. 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 10. Gordon A.	18. Foderingham W. (G) 30. Holgate M. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 5. Trusty A. 20. Bogle J. 8. Hamer G. 24. Arblaster O. (C) 35. Brooks A. 23. Osborn B. 10. Archer C. 11. Brereton Diaz B.
Substitutes
15. Barnes H. 3. Dummett P. 18. Karius L. (G) 17. Krafth E. 54. Murphy A. 63. Parkinson B. 11. Ritchie M. 40. White J. 9. Wilson C.	29. Curtis S. 13. Grbic I. (G) 27. Larouci Y. 34. Marsh L. 16. Norwood O. 32. Osula W. 19. Robinson J. 25. Slimane A. B. 21. Vini Souza
Coaches
Howe E.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ahmedhodzic A. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Isak A. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Schar F. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Guimaraes B. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
61', 3 - 1, Isak A. (Pen),
65', 4 - 1, Osborn B. (Own goal),
66', Murphy J. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
66', Anderson E. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
67', Holgate M. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
67', Archer C. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
70', Brooks A. ↓, Vini Souza ↑,
72', 5 - 1, Wilson C. ⚽, Barnes H. (A),
79', Hamer G. ↓, Slimane A. B. ↑,
82', Hall L. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
82', Gordon A. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 4.

Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sheff Utd has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Newcastle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newcastle is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
24.04.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Fulham - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
02.04.24	Newcastle United - Everton	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Newcastle United - West Ham United	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTW
- Sheffield United
English Premier League
24.04.24	Manchester United - Sheffield United	4:2 ✺
20.04.24	Sheffield United - Burnley	1:4 ✺
13.04.24	Brentford - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sheffield United - Chelsea	2:2 ✺
04.04.24	Liverpool - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.09.23	Sheffield United - Newcastle United	0:8
19.05.21	Newcastle United - Sheffield United	1:0
12.01.21	Sheffield United - Newcastle United	1:0
21.06.20	Newcastle United - Sheffield United	3:0
05.12.19	Sheffield United - Newcastle United	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.15	Sheffield United - Newcastle United	2:2

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