Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, Canal+ Live 7
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 9, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN, SÝN Sport Ísland 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Canal+, Sooka
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV3, Viaplay
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 8, Arena Sport 9
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Fulham		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.9	2.55
	2.55	3.75	2.62
	2.63	3.8	2.63
	2.63	3.71	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.5
	2.64	3.86	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)	3.75 ↑ (3.72)	2.59 (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fulham
37.3%

Draw
25.6%

Newcastle United
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Newcastle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	29.6%	37%

Fulham - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Newcastle will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 19.8% – 57.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (C) 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. 16. Berge S. 17. Iwobi A. 14. Bobb O. 32. Smith Rowe E. 22. Kevin 9. Rodrigo Muniz	1. Pope N. (G) 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 23. Murphy J. 41. Ramsey J. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 28. Willock J. 3. Hall L. 18. Osula W. 27. Woltemade N.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 15. Cuenca J. 7. Jimenez R. 24. King J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 30. Sessegnon R. 2. Tete K. 8. Wilson H.	11. Barnes H. 20. Elanga A. 10. Gordon A. 37. Murphy A. 62. Neave S. 32. Ramsdale A. (G) 26. Ruddy J. (G) 2. Trippier K. 9. Wissa Y.
Coaches
Silva M.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Diop I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Murphy J. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
60', Kevin ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
64', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
66', Osula W. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
66', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
70', Wissa Y. 🟨,
72', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
72', Bobb O. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
72', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
77', Woltemade N. ↓, Neave S. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Cairney T. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
84', Burn D. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
87', Diop I. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
89', Robinson A. 🟨,
90+8', Cuenca J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Fulham: Andersen J. (Red Card) Kusi Asare J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Joelinton (Thigh Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Livramento V. (Thigh Injury) Miley L. (Broken Leg) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Sessegnon R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Tonali S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	10:13	-3	8
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6:10	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Fulham - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 37.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Newcastle United - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 37.09%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
17.05.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Fulham - Bournemouth	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Arsenal - Fulham	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Fulham - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Brentford - Fulham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLWT
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
17.05.26	Newcastle United - West Ham United	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Arsenal - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
17.12.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	2:1
English Premier League
25.10.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	2:1
01.02.25	Newcastle United - Fulham	1:2
21.09.24	Fulham - Newcastle United	3:1
06.04.24	Fulham - Newcastle United	0:1
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Fulham - Newcastle United	0:2
English Premier League
16.12.23	Newcastle United - Fulham	3:0

Upcoming Matches