Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crystal Palace		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.5
	2.95	3.3	2.5
	3.03	3.45	2.51
	2.84	3.48	2.49	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.4
	3	3.51	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.77)	3.38 ↓ (3.63)	2.49 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
32.9%

Draw
28.4%

Newcastle United
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.3%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Newcastle United aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	29.6%	48.1%

Crystal Palace - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Newcastle will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Crystal Palace (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Newcastle (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 25%). Newcastle (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 23. Canvot J. 2. Munoz D. 8. Lerma J. 19. Hughes W. 3. Mitchell T. 11. Johnson B. 22. Larsen J. S. 10. Pino Y.	32. Ramsdale A. (G) 21. Livramento V. 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 67. Miley L. 7. Joelinton 8. Tonali S. 23. Murphy J. (C) 18. Osula W. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 18. Kamada D. 14. Mateta J. 34. Riad C. 7. Sarr I. 24. Sosa B. 20. Wharton A.	11. Barnes H. 33. Burn D. 20. Elanga A. 1. Pope N. (G) 41. Ramsey J. 2. Trippier K. 28. Willock J. 9. Wissa Y. 27. Woltemade N.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Osula W. ⚽, Miley L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', Johnson B. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
64', Hughes W. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
65', Larsen J. S. ↓, Mateta J. ↑,
68', Thiaw M. 🟨,
71', Gordon A. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
74', Joelinton 🟨,
76', Pino Y. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Mateta J. ⚽, Mitchell T. (A),
84', Joelinton ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
84', Osula W. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
90+3', Ramsdale A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Mateta J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Tonali S. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
90+5', Murphy J. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
90+6', Mitchell T. ↓, Sosa B. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 1.

Crystal Palace is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newcastle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Newcastle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Mateta J. (Rest) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes (Muscle Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Schar F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Guessand E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Botman S. (Face Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9:9	0	8
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Crystal Palace - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
19.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace	1:2 ET ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTW
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
22.03.26	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Barcelona - Newcastle United	7:2 ✺
English Premier League
14.03.26	Chelsea - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Newcastle United - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Newcastle United - Manchester City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.01.26	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	2:0
16.04.25	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	5:0
30.11.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	1:1
24.04.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:0
21.10.23	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	4:0
21.01.23	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	0:0
English League Cup
09.11.22	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	1:0 penalties

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