Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Everton		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.63
	2.78	3.35	2.6
	2.82	3.39	2.65
	2.83	3.34	2.50	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.67	Watch
	2.71	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.83)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)	2.61 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
34.5%

Draw
28.7%

Newcastle United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28.4%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Everton - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Newcastle will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 19.8% – 57.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Newcastle (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Newcastle (1.93) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Everton (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Everton (1.50) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 9 - 45%). Newcastle (votes: 9 - 45%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.	32. Ramsdale A. (G) 21. Livramento V. 12. Thiaw M. 33. Burn D. 3. Hall L. 67. Miley L. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 7. Joelinton 20. Elanga A. 27. Woltemade N. 11. Barnes H.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 73. Campbell E. 20. Dibling T. 31. King T. (G) 7. McNeil D. 12. Travers M. (G) 64. Welch R.	10. Gordon A. 37. Murphy A. 23. Murphy J. 62. Neave S. 41. Ramsey J. 26. Ruddy J. (G) 5. Schar F. 8. Tonali S. 28. Willock J.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. ⚽, Miley L. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Miley L. ⚽, Burn D. (A),
45', 0 - 3, Woltemade N. ⚽, Elanga A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Iroegbunam T. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
58', 0 - 4, Thiaw M. ⚽, Hall L. (A),
69', 1 - 4, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽, Tarkowski J. (A),
71', Elanga A. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
71', Barnes H. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
80', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
80', Grealish J. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
87', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
90', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Tonali S. ↑,
90', Hall L. ↓, Schar F. ↑,
90', Woltemade N. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (Red Card) Patterson N. (Groin Injury) Rohl M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Thigh Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Krafth E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
24.11.25	Manchester United - Everton	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Sunderland - Everton	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTLL
- Newcastle United
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Newcastle United - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brentford - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
02.11.25	West Ham United - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.05.25	Newcastle United - Everton	0:1
05.10.24	Everton - Newcastle United	0:0
02.04.24	Newcastle United - Everton	1:1
07.12.23	Everton - Newcastle United	3:0
27.04.23	Everton - Newcastle United	1:4
19.10.22	Newcastle United - Everton	1:0
17.03.22	Everton - Newcastle United	1:0

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