Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, ESPN Premium, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	11:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Paramount+, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping
Bulgaria	02:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	21:30	Disney+
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	01:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	04:30	Silk Universal
Greece	02:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	02:30	Sport 2
Italy	01:30	Como TV
Kosovo	01:30	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	08:30	Mola
Mexico	18:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	01:30	Canal+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	13:30	beIN Connect
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	01:30	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	00:30	Sport TV1
Russia	03:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	01:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	01:30	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	01:30	LaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Turkey	03:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
International	00:30	Pluto TV, TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.98	3.2	2.38	Watch
	3.26	3.3	2.31
	3.30	3.33	2.20	Watch
				Watch
	3.08	3.28	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
30.5%

Draw
29%

Flamengo
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

28.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Racing - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 34. Mura F. 23. Colombo N. 6. Rojo M. 27. Rojas G. 5. Nardoni J. 28. Solari S. 36. Zuculini B. (C) 32. Almendra A. E. 17. Conechny T. 9. Adrian Martinez	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 7. Luiz Araujo 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 15. Carrascal J. 50. Plata G.
Substitutes
21. Arias G. (G) 77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 3. Di Cesare M. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 18. Pardo F. 35. Quiros S. 26. Sanchez R. 7. Vergara D. 10. Vietto L. 11. Zaracho M.	6. Ayrton Lucas 27. Bruno Henrique 13. Danilo 18. de la Cruz N. 22. Emerson Royal 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 23. Juninho 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 30. Michael 8. Niguez S. 16. Samuel Lino
Coaches
Costas G.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Plata G. 🟥,
61', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
61', Carrascal J. ↓, Danilo ↑,
64', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
68', Mura F. 🟨,
71', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
71', Nardoni J. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
73', Luiz Araujo ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
73', Varela G. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
79', Almendra A. E. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
79', Solari S. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
84', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
85', Rojo M. 🟨,
87', Jorginho ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Racing: Forneris A. (Knee Injury) Pardo F. (Muscle Injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Injury) Leo Ortiz (Knee Injury) Pedro (Broken Hand) de la Cruz N. (Illness)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.97%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
22.10.25	Flamengo - Racing	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.25	Racing - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Banfield - Racing	1:3 ✺
06.10.25	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.10.25	Racing - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
25.10.25	Fortaleza - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.10.25	Flamengo - Racing	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.25	Flamengo - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Bahia - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.10.25	Flamengo - Racing	1:0
08.06.23	Flamengo - Racing	2:1
04.05.23	Racing - Flamengo	1:1
01.12.20	Flamengo - Racing	1:2 penalties
24.11.20	Racing - Flamengo	1:1

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