Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	9.5	Watch
	1.43	4.33	7.25
	1.45	3.9	8.6	Watch
	1.46	4.04	9.02
	1.47	3.95	8.3	Watch
	1.44	3.7	8.5
	1.46	3.94	9.59	Watch
	1.44	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	3.97 ↓ (3.98)	8.66 ↑ (8.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
65.3%

Draw
23.8%

Newells Old Boys
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

23.2%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 21. Herrera A. 37. Gelini G. 41. Zufiaurre I. 7. Zeballos E.	21. Arias G. (C) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 3. Luciano M. 19. Gomez J. 26. Herrera R. 33. Nunez W. 20. Guch F. 13. Coccaro M. 27. Herrera L.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 29. Angel Romero 36. Aranda T. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 18. Delgado M. 4. Figal J. 19. Martegani A. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Weigandt M. 22. Zenon K.	10. Acuna V. 1. Barlasina W. (G) 29. Esponda M. 17. Garcia F. 9. Hoyos M. 6. Mosquera J. 99. Ramirez J. 5. Regiardo L. 24. Risso G. 28. Russo J. 8. Sotelo D.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Gomez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Gomez J. 🟨,
19', Herrera R. 🟨,
28', Luciano M. 🟨,
36', Zufiaurre I. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Blanco L. ⚽,
45+2', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez W. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
46', Gomez J. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
46', Zufiaurre I. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Paredes L. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
67', Guch F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
71', Gelini G. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
71', Herrera A. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
71', Coccaro M. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
78', Herrera R. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
87', Paredes L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.

In recent matches, Boca Juniors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newells Old Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boca Juniors is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Back Injury) Gimenez M. (Thigh Injury) Miguel Merentiel (Injury) Velasco A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Montero A. (Inactive) Reinatti J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 2.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Boca Juniors - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Boca Juniors - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.12.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWTL
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.01.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0
08.12.24	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	1:3
12.11.23	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.07.23	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:1
16.10.22	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0

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