Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 23

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)


	Portadown		Newington

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.47	4.42	4.98
	1.54	4.28	4.47
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.48	4.45	5.09
	1.45	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.37 ↑ (4.2)	5.01 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
61.2%

Draw
20.7%

Newington
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20.6%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Portadown - Newington Predictions

Users Predictions: Portadown will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Newington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Portadown is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portadown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Portadown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
16.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Annagh United - Portadown	2:2 ✺
06.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dundela - Portadown	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Portadown - Dergview	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWTW
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
17.02.24	Newington - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Newry City - Newington	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
27.01.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Knockbreda - Newington	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Newington - Bangor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
24.11.23	Portadown - Newington	5:1
15.10.23	Newington - Portadown	0:2

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