Match Info

Irish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Milltown (Warrenpoint)


	Warrenpoint Town		Larne

	1	X	2
	11	4.85	1.26
	9.19	4.9	1.26
	25.00	11.45	1.03	Watch
	12	4.5	1.25
	12.9	4.8	1.23
	10	5	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.35 ↑ (6.53)	5.92 ↑ (4.1)	1.21 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
7%

Draw
15.8%

Larne
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

22.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

21.5%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrenpoint Town's form might have worsened.

Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Larne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrenpoint Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Larne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warrenpoint Town - Larne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Larne (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lusty M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 0.

Warrenpoint Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Larne is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Larne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Larne has had a series of away games.

In this match, Larne is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2:27. (average 0.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrenpoint Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	1:5 ✺
30.12.25	Warrenpoint Town - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:3 ✺
26.12.25	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Warrenpoint Town - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTW
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.26	Ballymena United - Larne	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
31.01.26	Crusaders - Larne	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Larne - Bangor	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Linfield - Larne	0:0 ✺
13.01.26	Glentoran - Larne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.22	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	0:1
Northern Irish Premiership
25.01.22	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	0:3
04.12.21	Larne - Warrenpoint Town	3:0
11.09.21	Larne - Warrenpoint Town	3:0
16.04.21	Larne - Warrenpoint Town	5:0
06.02.21	Larne - Warrenpoint Town	1:1
10.11.20	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	1:1

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