The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 19.3%
Draw 24.2%
Milton Keynes Dons 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
25.1%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
24.6%
55.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 1 - 20%). MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DNB - MK Dons (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - MK Dons (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tzanev N. (G) 21. Spellman M. 4. Baker M. (C) 15. Jenkins L. 17. Davies T. 22. Ogunneye H. 11. Antwi C. 8. Smith M. 20. Lloyd B. 7. Kamwa B. 23. Reindorf M.
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 2. Jones G. 15. Offord L. 32. Sanders J. 21. Ekpiteta M. 18. Collar W. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 16. Nemane A. 13. Paterson C. 11. Mendez-Laing N.
Substitutes
6. Brennan C. 5. Clarke J. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Evans C. 19. Garner G. 12. Thomas J. 28. Wright J. (G)
7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 9. Hogan S. 17. Leko J. 4. Thompson N. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Hughes D.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ogunneye H. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spellman M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
61', Jones G. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
67', Antwi C. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
70', Kamwa B. (Pen),
72', Nemane A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
77', Thompson N. 🟨,
78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
78', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
83', Davies T. 🟨,
89', Davies T. ↓, Driscoll-Glennon A. ↑,
89', Hogan S. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
Newport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
MK Dons has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Warner J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Newport County - the odds 4.48 are the expected chance of winning is 20.85%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.