Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Newport County		Millwall

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.38	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.41
	8.3	4.7	1.35	Watch
	8.46	4.83	1.36
	6.42	4.18	1.48	Watch
	8	4.5	1.4
	7.57	4.8	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.68 ↑ (6.97)	4.64 ↑ (4.29)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
12.3%

Draw
20.3%

Millwall
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

21.8%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

21.2%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Newport County - Millwall Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Millwall (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Millwall will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 2. Evans C. 5. Clarke J. (C) 4. Baker M. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 11. Antwi C. 14. Whitmore K. 20. Lloyd B. 7. Kamwa B. 9. Baker-Richardson C.	15. Crocombe M. (G) 18. Leonard R. 27. Grant K. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 21. Luongo M. 25. Cundle L. 31. Bangura-Williams R. 19. Coburn J. 22. Emakhu A. 17. Langstaff M.
Substitutes
27. Alexander-Walker M. 6. Brennan C. 17. Davies T. 10. Greaves O. 15. Jenkins L. 23. Reindorf M. 31. Sanca N. 21. Spellman M. 1. Tzanev N. (G)	13. Benda S. (G) 4. Crama T. 45. Harding W. 47. Howland J. 16. Kelly D. 32. Kendall S. 30. Lamptey R. 28. Matthews A. 7. Nisbet K.
Coaches
Hughes D.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Leonard R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Antwi C. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Leonard R. ⚽,
64', Coburn J. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
64', Sturge Z. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
64', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
65', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
74', Luongo M. 🟨,
75', Ogunneye H. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
75', Whitmore K. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
87', Langstaff M. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
90+6', Emakhu A. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,

Preview

Newport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Millwall is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Millwall is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
09.08.25	Crawley Town - Newport County	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Newport County - Notts County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.07.25	Barnet - Newport County	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Torquay United - Newport County	3:1 ✺
15.07.25	Weston-super-Mare - Newport County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WTWLW
- Millwall
English League Championship
09.08.25	Norwich City - Millwall	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Estoril Praia - Millwall	0:3 ✺
29.07.25	Sutton United - Millwall	2:6 ✺
26.07.25	Bromley - Millwall	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	AFC Wimbledon - Millwall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.01.20	Millwall - Newport County	3:0

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