The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Millwall 56.4%
Draw 24.2%
Derby County 19.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54%
24.8%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
24.9%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Millwall - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 23rd in the Relegation - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
In recent outings, Millwall has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Derby is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Millwall is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Millwall: Coburn J.
(Muscle Injury)
De Norre C.
(Muscle Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Marschall F.
(Injury)
Servais M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cashin E.
(Inactive)
Clarke M.
(Calf Injury)
Forsyth C.
(Knee Injury)
Langas S.
(Injury)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sanderson D.
(Red Card)
Taylor C.
(Injury)
Travis L.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Millwall: Arconte T.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Millwall has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Millwall against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).